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The highest praise I can give it is that I finished reading it -- all the way through -- which is something I don't think I've ever done with a management book. Savage is a clear and gifted writer, which helps, and I'm interested in the subject matter, which also helps.

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But there was something else which kept me reading: I was waiting for the other shoe to drop, and it never did. Savage advocates that companies create a new position, the Chief Probability Officer, charged with coordinating the institutional knowledge about probability distributions. He writes, in what might be the nub of the whole book:. Managers at many levels are just bursting with probabilistic knowledge, which if properly channeled can be put to good use.

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On page of his book, Savage prints an admittedly hypothetical distribution of future sea levels. But the fact is that his base-case scenario, the place where he starts his analysis, is a thin-tailed normal distribution, with the chance of sea levels rising in future being exactly the same as the chance that they will fall. Tails are thin; Black and Scholes and Merton and Markowitz are heroes; probability distributions can be modeled and tamed and understood on a seat-of-the-pants level.

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    Common Questions FAQ. Contact us. My Library. Affiliate System. Gift Certificates. Create Content for your Favorite Games. Privacy Policy. Our Latest Newsletter. Product Reviews. Newsletter RSS Feed. Can we respond to you about this? Start Over Advanced Search. Products found in this section Strap into your Veritech fighter and battle giant Zentraedi warriors for the fate of mankind.

    Defend the earth from invasion in your Destroid. Help maintain the fragile peace after the war that left most of the Earth devastated. Inside this book you will find a complete Savage Worlds setting for the Macross era of Robotech.

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    Play as your favorite characters, Adorkable Dungeons: Heroes Set One Sometimes fantasy adventures are epic adventures and sometimes they are just a-dork-able. This set of Print and Play Cardstock Miniatures provides a collection of fantasy adventurers that are ready to take on any challenges that the Dungeon Master might throw at them. Cameron, as she often is, was spot-on, but saying whatever she thinks costs her.

    Her mom has been chasing her dad forever, and he does little except write checks and denigrate both. All Cameron desperately wants is her father's approval. She craves his attention so much that she's trying to get into the University of Pennsylvania, his alma mater, and follow him into finance so he will be proud of her. Although her passion is web design, she considers that a hobby while forcing herself to pore over spreadsheets and delve into economics, all designed to get her into Wharton. A coming-of-age novel that goes beneath the beautiful mean girl's facade. Throughout the book, which is longer than it needs to be, Cameron figures out that a few things she thought were her dream are not.

    She has an epiphany about a boy, a longtime friend, and a profound awakening about kids she once dismissed. As Cameron goes on what could only be called an apology tour, she tries to make amends with those she has insulted. She also learns that her mother is more than a collection of broken dreams and dashed promises and that sometimes the cool kids are the ones the popular kids avoided at lunch.